Friday, June 29, 2007

Bearish shooting star

You gotta love markets. Everyday is different and brings new information and new challenges and excitement. What looked like a bullish certainity going into the Fed meeting, changed completely after 2 hours.

Firstly, the 120-min on NQ and ES is still on a buy, but is in a position to get rejected at the zero line, if we selloff tommorow.




The bearish shooting star pattern appeared on the NQ at two different timeframes (120-min and the daily charts), which is pretty ominous. For this bearish pattern to confirm, we need to open Friday around the Thursday's closing levels (or even better gap-down) and selloff the rest of the day ending in a red candle. That would confirm that it the rally from ES 1492 was a 2 day wonder and the next downleg has begun. Anyway, i preferred to jump the gun and took a stab at a short here around NQ 1958, since the risk/reward is so good. Not to mention that i closed all my longs at the close. A hourly close above NQ 1968 will stop me out and also keep the bullish structure intact. Call me a bear for today !

We'll see what Friday brings.....

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