Tuesday, July 20, 2010

NAV trendicator


Here's a visual look at my system. My system uses no cycles, e-wave, astro, magic numbers, support, resistanace, Fibonacci or for that matter even interanls (breadth, vol, high/lows), Put/Call, VIX, fundamentals, news, earnings, bull market, bear market, cyclical/secular trends et al. It is based on purely price action, price trending rules and price based momentum. Price trending rules and momentum rules are used to charaterize the trend into different phases as

1) Trending
2) Strongly trending (power phase - no countertrend trading should done in this phase)
3) Downtrending
4) Strongly downtrending (power phase - no countertrend trading should be done in this
phase)
5) Potential CIT (Change in trend) => At this point, trend traders should take profits or tighten their stops and swing traders start probing positions against the trend.


Last but not least, this is not a curve fitted system (which are dime a dozen in this industry), with optimized parameters to make the past look good. The system only attempts to characterize the trend and not optimize the buy/sell points. No it won't pick the exact bottom and top tick, if that's your obsession. You would miss one or two candles at the top/bottom. The system also does not have a vision for the future . Consequently, it does not attempt to guess the amplitude of the move or the duration of the move.

3 comments:

curt504 said...

Thanks Nav. Nice system. Much better than mine. :) I'll be checking back for your turns.

Good luck, curt

KCScott said...

Nav,

Is this something you built yourself or is it something commercially available?

Thanks,

Scott

NAV said...

KCScott,

This is something i developed mself.