Sunday, April 18, 2010

The trend is still up....

But the warning shots have been fired. This is the 4th VST sell signal fired by my system since the Feb 2010 bottom. This selloff has been the largest fastest decline since the Feb bottom, which means it is likely that this is more than a one day wonder. If the market were to maintain the current trend structure, then it has to perform a slingshot recovery to the uspide. If it's a slingshot recovery, we should see big volume coming at the open with green candles. Barring that, the slower moving averages on the hourly charts will start curling over, leading to a more deeper selloff. If the volume is anemic on any bounce from here, i will start scaling into shorts between the SPX 1195-1205 area. A move above 1214 is required to invlaidate the sell setup.

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